Tiger Woods is one of 23 members of the top 25 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings in the field for this week’s Memorial Tournament, beginning Thursday at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio.
Below, we look at the BetMGM PGA Tour betting odds and make our picks to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament.
World No. 1 Rory McIlroy returns to play for the first time since a T-11 finish at the Travelers Championship. Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau and Collin Morikawa all seek to defend wins in their last tournaments.
Betting Picks – Tier 1
Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Morikawa shares just the sixth-best odds to win this week. Justin Thomas, who Morikawa toppled in a Sunday comeback ending in a playoff, is the tournament’s co-favorite with DeChambeau at +1000.
While Muirfield Village GC is expected to undergo some quick alterations this week to change tee boxes, rough length and green speeds, it’s still the same venue. The field will be considerably stronger, but Morikawa is still well worth a bet at 20-1 as he looks to go back-to-back on the same course.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Morikawa to win the 2020 Memorial Tournament returns a profit of $200. The same bet on Thomas would return a profit of just $100.
Daniel Berger (+4000)
Berger hasn’t participated in an event since following up his resurgent victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge with a T-3 finish at the RBC Heritage. He enters this week with the longest odds of any winner since the PGA Tour’s restart.
He gained averages of 1.36 strokes per round on approach and 1.90 strokes per round from tee-to-green in his win at Colonial Country Club, according to Data Golf. He hasn’t played this event since finishing 67th in 2016, but claimed his first victory at the FedEx St. Jude Classic the week after.
Betting Picks – Tier 2
Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer has been playing some of the best golf of his career since the PGA Tour returned to play and enters the week 16th in the Golfweek rankings. He was T-14 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, second at the RBC Heritage and T-11 at the Travelers Championship. He’s 11th on Tour this season while gaining 0.795 strokes per round on approach through 34 measured rounds.
Sergio Garcia (+7000)
Garcia is fourth on Tour with 1.653 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green through 18 rounds on the 2019-20 season. He has averaged 1.63 strokes gained per round over 16 career rounds at Muirfield Village GC. He hasn’t played here since a 45th-place finish in 2008, but was a co-runner-up in 2001 and has three top-10 results in eight events in 2020.
Betting Picks – Long shots
Rory Sabbatini (+10000)
Sabbatini finished in a five-way tie for 17th last week, with a Sunday round of plus-1 that knocked him out of the top 10. He gained 1.13 strokes per round from tee-to-green last week and broke 70 in each of his first three rounds of the Workday Charity Open. He’s sixth among those with a minimum of five rounds played at Muirfield Village with 2.02 strokes gained per round at this venue.
Shane Lowry (+12500)
Lowry is coming off of a 39th-place finish last week at Muirfield with opening and closing rounds of 69 bookending his tournament. He uncharacteristically lost 0.72 strokes per round off the tee, though was able to gain 0.95 strokes on approach.
The odds are far too high for the reigning Champion Golfer of the Year.
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